My Take: The Fossil Emission Hoax

(I submitted the following to the Seattle Times to atone for neglecting to include me in their list of gubernatorial candidates.  I'm posting it since they "may"  also ignore it)

My Take: The Fossil Emission Hoax

It’s been more than thirty years since Al Gore warned the world about fossil emissions with his “Inconvenient Truth” claim.  Since then the entire developed world has spent hundreds of billions annually replacing thousands of coal power plants with far more expensive and far less reliable windmills and solar panels.  Oil drilling and fracking have been demonized and pipelines delayed, and battery and high mileage cars imposed to minimize fossil emission.  

However even those efforts will be dwarfed by the Green New Deal.  The claim fossil emissions are an existential threat has resulted in plans to spend trillions for years to dramatically reduce if not end the emissions. 

My take is Al Gore’s claim is in fact a monumental lie.  The rationale is relatively simple. Ice core data clearly show CO2 level was the result of increased out gassing from ocean when temperatures were warming and increased dissolution when temperatures were cooling.  Both warming and cooling were driven by the Sun.  The clearest example was the Sun warming global temperatures during the Eemian Interglacial Period some 126,000 years ago to 4 deg C higher than current levels with 290  parts per million (ppm) CO2 in atmosphere 

The fossil emissions have added to the Sun's impact on CO2 over the last 60 years raising level to the current 410 ppm.  The basis for climatologists concern is the failure of computer models to match measured temperatures unless increasing fossil emissions had 10 times the impact of Sun on global warming.

However, fossil emissions currently add ~5 gigaton carbon (GtC) to the ~90 GtC out gassed from ocean.  Even more important, the fossil emissions are largely offset by increased dissolution since atmospheric CO2 only increased by ~2 ppm.  If emissions averaged 10 GtC over the next 50 years the additional 500 GtC would add 200 ppm more raising the current level from 410 to 610 ppm, or from 0.041 to 0.061%, still a tiny fraction of the 96.5% CO2 that warms Venus.  

Sooner or later the entire "scientific" world will recognize the futility of continuing to spend trillions each year to limit global warming by reducing those emissions.  It's not a case of whether but when.

Bill Hirt (Candidate for Washington Governor).

Bellevue, Wa