Countless posts on this blog have
referenced an August 2004 Puget Sound Regional Council Technical Workbook,
“Central Puget Sound Region, High Capacity Transit Corridor Assessment”. It concluded routing light rail
through the Downtown Seattle Transit Tunnel (DSTT) limited capacity to 8880
riders per hour in each direction.
They based that capacity on the conclusion DSTT station lengths limited
light rail trains to 4 cars, that safe operation required a minimum of 4
minutes between trains, and that each 74-seat car could accommodate 148
riders.
Unfortunately that document is no
longer available on the Internet and Sound Transit has decreed the DSTT can
accommodate 16,000 riders per hour (rph) in each direction. Even with the 16,000 rph
capacity, it will take 7 hours to accommodate the up to 112,000 riders Sound
Transit claimed the ST3 extensions beyond Northgate to Everett will add; ending
access for current riders and those anticipated from Northgate extension for
much of the day.
The extension beyond Angel Lake to
Tacoma will presumably be limited to half the DSTT capacity. If so, it will take nearly 11 hours to
accommodate Sound Transit claims for up to 95,000 riders from those extensions,
again ending access for current commuters. Even Sound Transits earlier promises for 50,000 riders for
East Link will take more than 6 hours.
Clearly Sound Transit’s promises
for ST3 ridership exceed any rational capacity for light rail routed through
the DSTT. Even more “problematic”
is their apparent assumption the two light rail stations in the tunnel can
accommodate the return trips.
Presumably half of the up to 257,000 additional daily rides will be return trips. Thus, ~125,000 additional commuters will have to do so at one of the two DSTT light
rail stations.
Two years ago I spent several days
riding New York City subways. Subway lines there typically provide commuters
with multiple stations for access.
Most stations are sized to provide commuters with access to more than 10
train cars. Commuters pay fares to
get access to the station not to ride, facilitating rapid access. Subways there provide New Yorkers
with fast, reliable, high capacity transit.
The DSTT station limits on the number of light rail cars also
limits the number of commuters the station can accommodate. The idea the two stations in the DSTT
can accommodate up to 125,000 additional riders during an afternoon commute goes beyond
“problematic” to absurd. The need
to pay fares on the train will likely increase station times reducing train frequency,
adding to the absurdity.
Thus, the DSTT not only limits
light rail capacity to a fraction of what’s required to meet Sound Transit
ridership claims, the stations will never be able to accommodate the
capacity it does have. It’s way past time they acknowledge both
realities.
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