The previous two posts have
detailed my intent to use the candidacy for governor and the Voters’ Pamphlet statement to inform voters about Seattle Times decade of abiding If not
abetting Sound Transit and WSDOT failure to address congestion on area’s
roadways. That our area’s
congestion, already one of the worst in the country, is only going to increase
if they’re allowed to continue.
This post details how my
candidate’s statement will inform voters why there's no need to
reduce state’s fossil CO2 emissions.
Washington currently ranks 25th in the country with 79.3
million tons (Mt) making up 1.5% of the country's 5,107 Mt total. The state’s 10.88 tons per capita is
less than 40 other states. Clearly reducing the state’s CO2 emissions will have little effect on country’s
emissions.
The entire country currently emits only
about 13% of global total, the 2017 total, 5,107 Mt is little changed from the
5,085 Mt 1990 level. By comparison
the world’s fossil CO2 emissions have increased from 22,674 Mt in 1990 to
37,077 Mt in 2017. China emissions
have increased from 2,397 million in 1990 to 10,877 in 2017 and 29% of
total. Yet they have no plans to
slow current increases until 2030.
Clearly reducing US emissions will have little effect on total.
Even more important,
climatologists overstate the impact of fossil CO2 emissions on global
temperatures. Again, the world’s fossil
CO2 emissions have increased from 22,674 Mt in 1990 to 37,077 Mt in 2017. However, a plot of global temperatures shows the temperatures increased from 1920 until 1945, before
significant CO2 emissions, at the same rate as from 1970 to 2018. The temperature increased from1970 to
1990 at the same rate as from 1990 until 2018 despite the 70% increase in fossil
CO2 emissions. Clearly global
temperatures were not that sensitive to those emissions.
Also a plot of CO2 in the
atmosphere showed CO2 increased from 320 parts per million (ppm) in 1960, to
396 ppm in 2014. Yet the rate of change from 1970 to 1990 was essentially the
same as for 1990 to 2014.
Again despite the 70% increase in fossil CO2 emissions.
If increasing fossil CO2 emissions
didn’t increase atmospheric CO2 ppm they could not be the reason for increasing
global temperatures. The only
rational explanation was global temperatures, driven by the sun were increasing
CO2 out gassing from ocean surface.
It’s “unlikely” a Washington
carbon tax will have any impact on the sun.
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