About this blog

My name is Bill Hirt and I'm a candidate to be a Representative from the 48th district in the Washington State legislature. My candidacy stems from concern the legislature is not properly overseeing the WSDOT and Sound Transit East Link light rail program. I believe East Link will be a disaster for the entire eastside. ST will spend 5-6 billion on a transportation project that will increase, not decrease cross-lake congestion, violates federal environmental laws, devastates a beautiful part of residential Bellevue, creates havoc in Bellevue's central business district, and does absolutely nothing to alleviate congestion on 1-90 and 405. The only winners with East Link are the Associated Builders and Contractors of Western Washington and their labor unions.

This blog is an attempt to get more public awareness of these concerns. Many of the articles are from 3 years of failed efforts to persuade the Bellevue City Council, King County Council, east side legislators, media, and other organizations to stop this debacle. I have no illusions about being elected. My hope is voters from throughout the east side will read of my candidacy and visit this Web site. If they don't find them persuasive I know at least I tried.

Tuesday, February 5, 2019

Traffic Lab Doesn’t Get It.


The previous post opined Mayor Durkan urging commuters not to drive alone into the city or to ask the city for help in planning their trip was “unlikely” to reduce congestion.  Two Traffic Lab articles in the Feb 3rd Seattle Times show they also don’t recognize either the problem or the solution. 

The front-page article “How the Highway 99 tunnel might shake up your routine” includes the WSDOT justification for the tunnel, “the reason for this project was to get the viaduct down before it killed somebody”.  It’s not clear how much reinforcement the viaduct would have needed beyond what was done to enable it to withstand boring the tunnel.  Maybe that’s why the U.S Public Interest Research Group (PIRG) in 2014 concluded the $3.1 Seattle tunnel project had earned a dubious new distinction atop the list of 11 "highway boondoggles" that shouldn't be built. 

The article “implies” not many will be affected since “half of downtown workers use transit and only one-fourth drive alone”. However a PSRC, May 8th,  “Stuck in Traffic: 2015 Report” included “pie charts” depicting “Commute Mode Share” for 2010 and 2013.  That between the three years, the number of commuters who used transit increased from 8.6% to 9.8%, while the number of commuters who drove alone dropped from 74.4% to 73.6%.

It’s “unlikely” those numbers or “how people experience congestion has fundamentally changed” since then.  Especially since the Traffic Lab article also reported, “Everett to the north now endures the nation’s worst highway delays”. 

The second Traffic Lab article “Altered routes could become routine” continues in the same vein thanking those for the adjustments they’ve made” while the tunnel was closed, and urging they “keep doing them”.  Even tunnel proponents recognize many commuters who previously used one of three lanes on the viaduct to exit in downtown Seattle will now be "reluctant" to use one of two lanes through the tunnel to exit on an onramp to Republican St, “J-hook” back to downtown, and pay a toll to do so.

Clearly the decision to use the tunnel to replace the viaduct rather than to supplement it with additional lanes under the city was a major blunder.  As a result congestion on I-5 into the city from Federal Way will surely raise its rankings as one of the most congested in the country.  

Yet the Traffic Lab refuses to acknowledge the billions spent on light rail extension to Federal Way, like those spent on extensions to Lynnwood and beyond, will do absolutely nothing to reduce the congestion. That any riders added by the extensions will simply reduce access for current riders.  The only way to reduce congestion is to increase the number of commuters able to use public transit.

Yet Traffic Lab continues to abide Sound Transit light rail extensions and CEO Rogoff’s plans to continue their decade-long refusal to increase bus revenue hours at least until 2041.  Sound Transit needs to be “persuaded” to increase transit capacity with hundreds of additional bus routes into the city from both Everett and Federal Way. That they need to provide commuters access to the bus routes with added parking or local bus routes from near where they live to T/Cs with the buses.

The added bus routes could be facilitated with an HOT lane with fees set to limit non-transit vehicles to where the total is less than the 2000 vehicles per hour required to assure 45 mph.  (Until HOT was implemented the HOV lanes could be restricted to +3 HOV during peak commute.) That egress and access in Seattle for each route could be expedited with one or two designated drop-off and pickup locations on an elongated bus-only T/C on 4th Ave.   

Instead Traffic Lab continues to abide Sound Transit plans to spend 86% of their $2.4 billion 2019 budget on light rail extensions.  That the more than $2 billion is only a down payment on Rogoff’s plans to spend $96 billion on what he proudly calls “the most ambitious transit system expansion in the country”. Neither he nor apparently Traffic Lab recognize his transit system expansion will do nothing to increase transit capacity into the city.  That the only thing the transit system expansion does is increase the operating costs creating a "black hole" for the area's future transportation funds.

Again, the two Traffic Lab articles urging commuters to change their commutes into Seattle while abiding Rogoff plans to continue extending light rail rather than expanding bus transit clearly show they don’t get it!

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