The June 17th Seattle
Times, B1 page Traffic Lab article Bellevue envisions fleet of driverless vans
to relieve congestion” exemplifies an inept approach to a possible way to
reduce the “cars that clog Eastside
highways each work day.”
The article is unclear as to what
the Bellevue driverless van concept would entail. One approach is,
“A 1- to 2-mile loop in downtown Bellevue that would move people between the
downtown transit center and nearby workplaces and restaurants”. Another, “Hundreds of vans where you could book a ride
through an app, (presumably from home) switching times on days when you have to
work late, or leave early”.
Transit vans reduce roadway
congestion by attracting up to 12 commuters willing to share a ride to a common
destination. Each route requires
up 12 commuters living within reasonable distance of each other who need to
reach destinations within reasonable proximity to each other at about the same
time.
The article claims, “The city
wants major employers to chip in; that a fully realized program could cost
hundreds of millions of dollars to build out”. It’s not clear what they need to “build out” since a 12-passenger
van with a driver reduces congestion the same as a driverless van.
One of the major employers that
should be asked to “chip in” is Microsoft. They recently announced plans to expand their Redmond campus to
accommodate 8,000 more employees to the 47,000 currently working there. The added workforce is surely going to
exacerbate the current “clogging” on all the major roadways east of I-405 for much of the day from
those already working there.
Microsoft
needs to be “persuaded” to dramatically increase their “Connector” transit
capacity with hundreds of additional 12-passenger van routes. (Or forced by permitting process to
limit the number of “on-campus” parking stalls.) The large numbers of employees provides the numbers of riders
living within reasonable distance of each other, all going to the campus, to
effectively use vans on hundreds of routes. Microsoft could arrange for their work schedules to be compatible
and allow vans to schedule multiple routes throughout the day.
Again, they don’t need to be driverless to
reduce congestion so they could begin operation within 6 months not 6
years. Microsoft could eventually
decide to supplement the van routes by also providing off-campus P&R lots
with increased Connector bus routes.
Both vans and buses could be even more effective by providing them with Wi-Fi
access.
Those advocating for “driverless” vans need to
recognize eliminating the driver does nothing to increase van capacity and only
delays their implementation.
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