The previous post detailed how
fees from five 1000-stall Pay-to-Park lots near Lynnwood and Everett could fund
bus capacity for up to 20,000 commuters into and out of Seattle. That doing so was the equivalent
of adding 2 lanes of freeway for 5 hours every morning and afternoon, or 3 lanes during the 3-hour peak morning and afternoons when most of the routes will be scheduled. That instead Sound Transit will spend
billions on light rail extensions from Northgate to Everett that do nothing to
increase transit capacity but require a huge subsidy to cover the increased
operating cost. That any riders
the extension adds will reduce access for those using stations nearer
Seattle.
South Seattle commuters have even
more reason to advocate Pay-to-Park lots. The 3rd quarter, ~60,000 daily-ridership report
indicates 30,000 commuters rode light rail between Westlake and Angel
Lake. During peak commute
Central Link trains ran every 6 minutes. The ST3 extensions to Federal Way and across I-90 Bridge will
not only reduce train frequency they will essentially end light rail access at
current light rail stations beyond International District.
A 2004 PSRC report concluded safe
operation through the Downtown Seattle Transit Tunnel (DSTT) required a minimum
of 4 minutes between trains. When
East Link begins operation half of those trains will be routed across the I-90
Bridge, limiting Central Link beyond the International District to one train
every 8 minutes, half the frequency of the Everett extension.
The PSRC report also concluded the
DSTT stations limited each train to four cars and each 74-seat car could
accommodate up to 148 riders, or 4440 riders per hour (rph). (Sound Transit claims up to 16,000-rph-capacity through
the DSTT, or 8000 rph capacity beyond International District.)
Again, light rail extensions
beyond Angel Lake will do nothing to increase the Central Link capacity above
4440 rph, per PSRC. Yet the
~$25.00 per mile 2017 budgets for light rail car operating costs for the 15
mile extensions to the Tacoma dome will add $3000 to the round trip operating
costs for the 4-car train. Assuming 100 of the current 132 Central Link weekday routes will
continue after East Link begins operation, the resulting ~$300,000 fare-box-revenue
short-fall will add significantly to the Everett extension financial “black
hole”.
Even worse, Sound Transit’s told
voters prior to the 2016 vote the ST3 extensions beyond Angel Lake to Federal
Way and Tacoma dome would add up to 95,000 riders daily by 2040. A fraction of that ridership
would fill trains before they ever reach Angel Lake, even with Sound Transit’s
dubious capacity claims. The
billions Sound Transit plans to spend extending Central Link through Federal
Way to Tacoma will end access for the ~20,000 riders who currently ride Central
Link every morning and afternoon between Angel Lake and International
District.
As with the congestion north of
Seattle, other than adding additional freeway lanes, the only way to
accommodate the “up to 95,000 additional riders” is to provide them with access
to increased public transit capacity with added parking and bus routes. With Pay-to-Park, commuters could
pay a monthly or yearly fee to reserve a stall and ride free into Seattle. Sound Transit budgets bus
operating costs as ~$10.00 per mile. The 22 mile round trip from Federal Way T/C to 4th
and James will costs $440.
However, Sound Transit normally expects fare box revenue to cover 35% of
operating costs or $154 for the round trip.
Sound Transit could charge
commuters $10.00 a day for a
reserved stall or $10,000 daily for a 1000 stall Pay-to-Park lot enough to fund
65 round trips daily. Assuming 100
riders per bus, the parking fees would provide 3200 riders into and out of
Seattle every morning and afternoon.
With $15.00 daily fees, 97 round trips and 4800 commuters could ride
free.
The ~65 mille round trip from the Tacoma Dome to Seattle and back
would cost $650, requiring $227.50 parking fees to meet Sound Transit’s 35%
recovery. A 1000 stall Pay-to-Park
lot with $15.00 daily fees would fund 66 round trips with capacity for 3300
riders.
As with transit to Lynnwood and
Everett, Sound Transit could increase south end transit capacity along I-5 by
more than 20,000 riders daily by adding three 1000-stall Pay-to-Park lots near
Federal Way and two near Tacoma. While
current Sound Transit express bus service would continue the transit capacity
funded by the Pay-to-Park lots would provide the equivalent of 2 additional
freeway lanes (assuming 2000 vehicles per hour) for 5 hours each morning and
afternoon or 3 lanes during the peak 3-hour morning and afternoon commutes. Additional lots
could be added when and where they’re needed to meet any future growth.
Tacoma and Federal Way commuters
would also benefit from reduced transit times from Pay-to-Park lots, with
direct BRT routes on freeway lanes limited to +3HOV during peak commute, to one
or two designated drop-off and pick-up points at an elongated 4th
Ave T/C. Seattle would benefit
from continued Central Link access and Sound Transit’s “ability” to use the ST3
extension funds to expedite light rail extensions to West Seattle and
Ballard.
There would be no ST3 funds without Seattle voters 70% support. They should not be used to reduced their access to light rail at current stations or future stations along the Northgate extension. Commuters along the entire I-5 corridor from Everett to Tacoma deserve to have their ST3 taxes spent on transportation that reduces congestion, not create a financial black hole for future taxes.
The Seattle City Council could benefit the entire area by urging legislature demand Sound Transit's current approach be audited and whether "Pay-to-Par" lots are a better alternative.
The Seattle City Council could benefit the entire area by urging legislature demand Sound Transit's current approach be audited and whether "Pay-to-Par" lots are a better alternative.
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